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Credit growth targeted at 23%
Credit growth should fall to 23 per cent next year, the State Bank of Viet Nam announced on Dec. 28, setting a more cautious policy than was pursued this year, when growth in commercial bank lending neared 28 per cent.
The State Bank also sent a clear message that monetary policy would focus on controlling inflation and stabilising the economy.
Foreign exchange policy would also be set in line with market signals to ensure system liquidity and a narrower trade deficit, the central bank said.
In closed-door meetings held in HCM City on Monday and in Ha Noi on Dec. 28, State Bank of Viet Nam Governor Nguyen Van Giau told commercial banks that credit should be focused on manufacturing sectors and gradually shifted away from non-manufacturing sectors.
Credit growth targets for individual banks would be dependent on business scale and performance, Giau said.
The Deputy Head of the Central Institute for Economic Management (CIEM), Vo Tri Thanh, told Viet Nam News a target of 23-per-cent credit growth was reasonable in light of next year's 7-per-cent inflation target.
"The target sends a clear message that the central bank will strictly supervise credit growth," Thanh said, although he cautioned that whether the central bank would achieve these targets would largely depend on other economic pressures.
Inflation reached 11.75 per cent this year, substantially exceeding the Government's adjusted target of 8 per cent, orginally set by the National Assembly at 7 per cent.
Credit growth this year has been estimated at 27.6 per cent – or 29.8 per cent if gold and US dollar prices are taken into account. Both figures are well beyond the target set last year of credit growth of 25 per cent.
Total outstanding dong-denominated commercial bank loans this year were estimated to have increased by 25.3 per cent, while loans in foreign currencies grew 49.3 per cent. Meanwhile, total deposits on hand grew an estimated 27.2 per cent over December 2009.
At a meeting last Saturday with the National Assembly's Economic Committee, Giau noted that bad debt in Viet Nam's banking system rose to an estimated 2.5 per cent of outstanding loans this year, up from 2.03 per cent in 2009.
The ratio would be higher if loans of VND26 trillion (US$1.33 billion) extended to troubled State-owned shipbuilder Vinashin were included in the total.
Nominally, the Vietnamese dong also lost over 5.5 per cent of its value against the US dollar over the course of the past year.
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